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EC Olimpia vs Doce Mel

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel in this Baiano 2 2019 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
EC Olimpia
20%
Draws
15%
Doce Mel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • EC Olimpia average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Doce Mel's 0.92.
  • Model gives EC Olimpia a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Doce Mel, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
EC Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Olimpia Doce Mel
Matches Played 12 36
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 12
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 Baiano 2
EC Olimpia vs Doce Mel
0:3
May 19, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs EC Olimpia
1:2
Apr 14, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs EC Olimpia
1:1
Apr 7, 2019 Baiano 2
EC Olimpia vs Doce Mel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Olimpia 85 / 100
Doce Mel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Olimpia Doce Mel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Olimpia scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Doce Mel let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: EC Olimpia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Doce Mel
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Olimpia

(Home)
26 May
EC Olimpia
0 : 3
Doce Mel
19 May
Doce Mel
1 : 2
EC Olimpia
12 May
EC Olimpia
3 : 0
Galicia
05 May
UNIRB
1 : 0
EC Olimpia
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
Page 1 of 3

Doce Mel

(Away)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Doce Mel 4
EC Olimpia 2