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EC Sao Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Costa D.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between EC Sao Bernardo and Uniao Barbarense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Barbarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
EC Sao Bernardo
39%
Draws
31%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Barbarense come out ahead of EC Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense
0:1
Feb 7, 2018 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Bernardo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo 41 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo Uniao Barbarense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: EC Sao Bernardo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

EC Sao Bernardo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uniao Barbarense let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo VS Uniao Barbarense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285