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EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs Apafut U20

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Gaucho U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Marcelo

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho U20 2024 game between EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 and Apafut U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Sao Jose (PA) U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
6%
Draws
4%
Apafut U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 come out ahead of Apafut U20 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Apafut U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Apafut U20
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Gaucho U20
Apafut U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Gaucho U20
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs Apafut U20
1:0
Oct 14, 2024 Gaucho U20
Apafut U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Apafut U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 85 / 100
Apafut U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Apafut U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Apafut U20 conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Attacking prowess: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 VS Apafut U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gremio U205
Sao Luiz U201
EC Juventude U202
Futvida U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U203
Apafut U200
Gramadense U201
Internacional U203
Semi-finals
Gremio U204
EC Juventude U202
EC Sao Jose (PA) U204
Internacional U202
Final
Gremio U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U202