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EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs Retro U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 play Retro U20 in the Copinha 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Retro U20 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 won 1, Retro U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 9, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 and 1.56 for Retro U20. This points to a EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
17%
Draws
39%
Retro U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 picked up more points recently compared to Retro U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Retro U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Retro U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2025 Copinha
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 vs Retro U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Retro U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 43 / 100
Retro U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Retro U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 attacking → ← attacking Retro U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Retro U20 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Retro U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 49
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo RJ U2033004:19
2Votuporanguense U2032015:36
3Floresta EC U2031024:33
4Fast Clube U2030033:90
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4Francana U2030121:91
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2Bandeirante U2032014:56
3Azuriz U2031116:64
4Tuna Luso U2030032:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U20321010:17
2Santos U2032019:36
3Tirol U2031112:14
4Jacioba U2030031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Sao Jose (PA) U2032014:26
2Vitoria U2031203:15
3Comercial U2031111:24
4Retro U2030121:41
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4Tupa U2031022:63
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3Internacional de Limeira U2031024:43
4Coimbra Sports U2030033:130
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2XV de Jau U2032015:26
3Serra Branca U2031022:43
4Picos U2030031:120
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3Atletico GO U2031114:14
4Itapirense U2030031:100
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3Dom Bosco U2031114:34
4Hercilio Luz U2030123:81
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3Sergipe U2031114:34
4Madureira U2030030:50
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3Porto Vitoria U2031023:33
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PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
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3Araguacema U2031025:103
4Monte Roraima U2030032:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
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