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EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Gama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Willian Junior
90' Event
Andrey Nunes

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
35%
Draws
47%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Gama's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gama a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Gama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 21%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Gama
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
4:0
Aug 8, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Gama
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Nunes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 24 / 100
Gama 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA) found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

EC Sao Jose (PA) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gama let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Gama
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Gama

(Away)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3