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EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Serie D. Little to choose between these two on current form. EC Sao Jose (PA) have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Gama's 2.13 scored and 0.88 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.25, favoring Gama. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
30%
Draws
34%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Gama's recent run of results.
  • Model gives EC Sao Jose (PA) a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Gama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 19%
Gama Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Gama
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 22
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 36 / 100
Gama 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: EC Sao Jose (PA) remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

EC Sao Jose (PA) scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Gama has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Gama lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Gama
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Gama

(Away)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-