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EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Santa Catarina Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Juninho
47' Event
Pereira Silva M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
35%
Draws
45%
Santa Catarina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Santa Catarina's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Santa Catarina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 23%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Santa Catarina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.34
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Santa Catarina vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:2
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Santa Catarina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santa Catarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 37 / 100
Santa Catarina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Santa Catarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Catarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA) scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Catarina conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

EC Sao Jose (PA) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Santa Catarina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Santa Catarina

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3