Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Sao Jose (PA) vs SER Caxias do Sul

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gabriel Lima
24'
Breno Santos
31'
Sub
Roberto In: Vitinho
Out: Roberto

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between EC Sao Jose (PA) and SER Caxias do Sul finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Sao Jose (PA).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
28%
Draws
22%
SER Caxias do Sul
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SER Caxias do Sul come out ahead of EC Sao Jose (PA) on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans EC Sao Jose (PA)'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 68%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) SER Caxias do Sul
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs SER Caxias do Sul
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:0
Feb 15, 2024 Gaucho
SER Caxias do Sul vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Nunes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SER Caxias do Sul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 59 / 100
SER Caxias do Sul 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) SER Caxias do Sul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA) has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Sao Jose (PA) found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: SER Caxias do Sul conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS SER Caxias do Sul
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45