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EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Treze PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gustavo Petrocelli
35' Event
Michel
79' Event
Raphael Soares

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
35%
Draws
41%
Treze PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treze PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Treze PB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Treze PB's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Treze PB arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Sao Jose (PA), who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 26%
Treze PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Treze PB
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
Treze PB vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Treze PB
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raphael Soares
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Treze PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Petrocelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 30 / 100
Treze PB 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Treze PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treze PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Jose (PA)'s goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Treze PB has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: EC Sao Jose (PA) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Treze PB
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Treze PB

(Away)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Treze PB
2 : 0
CRAC
04 Jul
CRAC
2 : 1
Treze PB
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3