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EC Vera Cruz vs Angra dos Reis

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
53'
69' Event

AI Match Summary

EC Vera Cruz in this Carioca C 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
EC Vera Cruz
6%
Draws
90%
Angra dos Reis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Angra dos Reis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Vera Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Angra dos Reis.
  • Win probability leans Angra dos Reis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
Angra dos Reis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Vera Cruz Angra dos Reis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.63 2.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Angra dos Reis
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Vera Cruz 10 / 100
Angra dos Reis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Vera Cruz Angra dos Reis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angra dos Reis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

EC Vera Cruz's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

EC Vera Cruz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Vera Cruz VS Angra dos Reis
1.63 Goals Scored 2.17
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paraty1291233:1128
2Santa Cruz RJ1283139:1427
3Riostrense1282229:1126
4Uniao Central1273234:1824
5Juventus RJ1273224:924
6EC Vera Cruz1262418:1120
7Angra dos Reis1261524:2119
8Rio Barra1140712:2412
9Buzios1240816:3312
10Duque Caxiense1231815:1910
11Caac Brazil1230910:359
12Mesquita122198:287
13Barcelona EC111195:334