Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca C

Mageense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Vera Cruz play Mageense in the Carioca C. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Vera Cruz averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Mageense averaged 1.05 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, EC Vera Cruz won 0, Mageense won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 12, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for EC Vera Cruz and 1.31 for Mageense. This points to a EC Vera Cruz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

EC Vera Cruz

15%

Draws

33%

Mageense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

EC Vera Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Mageense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 18%

Mageense Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	EC Vera Cruz	Mageense
Matches Played	32	20
Wins	14	5
Draws	5	1
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.28	1.05
Goals Conceded	1.19	2.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C

Mageense vs EC Vera Cruz

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C

EC Vera Cruz vs Mageense

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Vera Cruz 50 / 100

Mageense 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

EC Vera Cruz Mageense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Vera Cruz or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Vera Cruz attacking → ← attacking Mageense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Vera Cruz scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Mageense let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

EC Vera Cruz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mageense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 16

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63