Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Ypiranga vs Camacari

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga enters this Baiano 2 2013 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. EC Ypiranga averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Camacari shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for EC Ypiranga, 0 wins for Camacari, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 29.05.13 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.00 for EC Ypiranga and 0.69 for Camacari, suggesting the primary value lies in the EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
EC Ypiranga
15%
Draws
28%
Camacari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • EC Ypiranga picked up more points recently compared to Camacari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 28%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Camacari
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

29.05.13 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Camacari
4:0
01.05.13 Baiano 2
Camacari vs EC Ypiranga
1:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

EC Ypiranga

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Camacari

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 57 / 100
Camacari 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Camacari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick EC Ypiranga & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

EC Ypiranga is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

EC Ypiranga 63%
Camacari 22%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Camacari will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of EC Ypiranga's attacks.

EC Ypiranga 54%
Camacari 29%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect EC Ypiranga to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

EC Ypiranga 57%
Camacari 28%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see EC Ypiranga vary their attacking width.

EC Ypiranga 60%
Camacari 27%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Camacari, allowing EC Ypiranga's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

EC Ypiranga 51%
Camacari 31%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from EC Ypiranga, while Camacari takes risks to salvage a result.

EC Ypiranga 66%
Camacari 32%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Ypiranga attacking → ← attacking Camacari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga have found the net in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Camacari have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.

EC Ypiranga remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Camacari suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145