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EC Ypiranga vs Grapiuna Prediction & H2H Stats

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Baiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2015 game between EC Ypiranga and Grapiuna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
EC Ypiranga
20%
Draws
40%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Grapiuna have managed 1.05 goals a game lately — EC Ypiranga are scoring more at 1.3.
  • Model gives EC Ypiranga a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Grapiuna
Matches Played 37 43
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.3 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs EC Ypiranga
1:2
Jun 7, 2015 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Grapiuna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 85 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grapiuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 43 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: EC Ypiranga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

EC Ypiranga found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

EC Ypiranga VS Grapiuna
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Ypiranga

(Home)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
3 Juazeiro 8 4 2 2 13:13 14
4 Itabuna 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
5 EC Ypiranga 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
6 Grapiuna 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
7 Botafogo BA 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
8 Alagoinhas 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Jequie 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2015 (Play Offs)