Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kaerjeng carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Kaerjeng a 51% chance of winning this.
- Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Echternach Clean Sheet 18%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Echternach | Kaerjeng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.31 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2017 Luxembourg Cup
Echternach vs Kaerjeng
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Echternach 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Echternach Kaerjeng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Echternach found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (13 games).
Defensive concern: Kaerjeng conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Echternach went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kaerjeng
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Echternach
(Home) 21 Sept
Echternach
0 : 7 Racing Luxembourg
10 Nov
Lintgen
2 : 1 Echternach
06 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2 Ettelbruck
30 Oct
Echternach
0 : 7 Mondorf
02 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2 Bissen
Page 1 of 3
21 Sept
Echternach
0 : 7 Racing Luxembourg
06 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2 Ettelbruck
30 Oct
Echternach
0 : 7 Mondorf
02 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2 Bissen
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3 Mertert/Wasserbillig
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Kaerjeng
(Away) 23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1 Kaerjeng
16 Aug
Kaerjeng
1 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
09 Aug
Kaerjeng
4 : 2 Hostert
02 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 1 Kaerjeng
26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1 Kaerjeng
02 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 1 Kaerjeng
27 Jun
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
17 May
Differdange
2 : 0 Kaerjeng
03 May
FC Rodange 91
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
