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Echternach vs Mertert/Wasserbillig

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Mertert/Wasserbillig advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Echternach
15%
Draws
42%
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Echternach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mertert/Wasserbillig taking it.
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mertert/Wasserbillig, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Echternach Clean Sheet 10%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Echternach Mertert/Wasserbillig
Matches Played 13 23
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.78
Goals Conceded 4.31 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
Echternach vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Echternach 10 / 100
Mertert/Wasserbillig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Echternach Mertert/Wasserbillig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mertert/Wasserbillig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mertert/Wasserbillig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Echternach scored in 69% of their last 13 outings.

Mertert/Wasserbillig's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Echternach VS Mertert/Wasserbillig
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Echternach

(Home)
21 Sept
Echternach
0 : 7
Racing Luxembourg
10 Nov
Lintgen
2 : 1
Echternach
06 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2
Ettelbruck
30 Oct
Echternach
0 : 7
Mondorf
02 Oct
Echternach
3 : 2
Bissen
Page 1 of 3

Mertert/Wasserbillig

(Away)
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2
Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
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