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Eclair de Riviere-Salee vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eclair de Riviere-Salee play Samaritaine in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022. Samaritaine are favorites here. Recently, Eclair de Riviere-Salee averaged 0.61 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. Samaritaine averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Eclair de Riviere-Salee won 0, Samaritaine won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Eclair de Riviere-Salee and 1.00 for Samaritaine. This points to a Samaritaine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Eclair de Riviere-Salee
25%
Draws
60%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Samaritaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Eclair de Riviere-Salee picked up more points recently compared to Samaritaine.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Eclair de Riviere-Salee Clean Sheet 23%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eclair de Riviere-Salee Samaritaine
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 2 14
Draws 2 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.61 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Eclair de Riviere-Salee vs Samaritaine
0:5
Nov 20, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Eclair de Riviere-Salee
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eclair de Riviere-Salee 18 / 100
Samaritaine 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eclair de Riviere-Salee Samaritaine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Samaritaine & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eclair de Riviere-Salee attacking → ← attacking Samaritaine

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eclair de Riviere-Salee scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Samaritaine let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Eclair de Riviere-Salee went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Samaritaine lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Golden Lion18134155:1761
2Trenelle18114333:1555
3Robert18103522:1651
4Samaritaine1895431:1550
5Diamantinoise1859425:2342
6RC Saint Joseph1858528:2041
7RC Lorrain1854921:3037
8Olympique du Marin1836918:3033
9RC Riviere-Pilote18411318:4531
10Eclair de Riviere-Salee18221411:5126
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Colonial18144046:1264
2Franciscain18124255:1858
3Aiglon Lamentin18113430:1754
4CS Case-Pilote1883728:2545
5Golden Star1876522:2045
6Assaut1865722:2441
7US Riveraine1855821:2038
8Essor-Prechotain18421222:5232
9New Star Ducos1827910:3431
10Monnerot1803158:4221