Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ecuador U17 vs Bolivia U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Ecuador U17 Logo

Ecuador U17

2 - 1
FT
Bolivia U17 Logo

Bolivia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Pena R.
24'
Ordonez D.
33' Event
Quintero E.
Assist: Sanchez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U17 2025 game between Ecuador U17 and Bolivia U17 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ecuador U17
30%
Draws
29%
Bolivia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ecuador U17 come out ahead of Bolivia U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ecuador U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ecuador U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Bolivia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Bolivia U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 South American Championship U17
Bolivia U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:0
Apr 3, 2025 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Bolivia U17
2:1
Mar 23, 2019 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Bolivia U17
1:0
Feb 27, 2017 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Bolivia U17
1:0
Mar 12, 2015 South American Championship U17
Bolivia U17 vs Ecuador U17
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bolivia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 85 / 100
Bolivia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Bolivia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia U17 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ecuador U17 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ecuador U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Bolivia U17
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
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Bolivia U17

(Away)
18 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Bolivia U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Argentina U17
1 : 1
Bolivia U17
08 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 0
Peru U17
06 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 2
Venezuela U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U17 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Chile U17 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Argentina U17 4 2 0 2 12:6 6
4 Paraguay U17 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 0:17 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Venezuela U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ecuador U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Bolivia U17 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Uruguay U17 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)