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Stadium Background

Ecuador U17 vs Paraguay U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Tue, Apr 8, 2025
0 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Olaya V.
46'
Sub
Villalba P. In: Franco C.
Out: Villalba P.
57'
Sub
Tobar B. In: Ortiz C.
Out: Tobar B.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U17 in this South American Championship U17 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ecuador U17
20%
Draws
10%
Paraguay U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ecuador U17 have won more games recently than Paraguay U17.
  • Win probability leans Ecuador U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Ecuador U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay U17, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Paraguay U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Paraguay U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:2
Apr 8, 2025 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Paraguay U17
0:1
Apr 12, 2023 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Paraguay U17
3:1
Apr 5, 2019 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:1
Mar 10, 2017 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Ecuador U17
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 75 / 100
Paraguay U17 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Paraguay U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Paraguay U17 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ecuador U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Paraguay U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Paraguay U17
0 : 2
Colombia U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
03 Apr
Paraguay U17
1 : 2
Ecuador U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Paraguay U17 2
Argentina U17 1
Ecuador U17 0
Bolivia U17 1
Semi-finals
Ecuador U17 0
Paraguay U17 1
Argentina U17 3
Bolivia U17 0