Sport Picks
Ecuador U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
World
World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago 
Match Events
41'
41'
Arboleda D.
Assist: Chiuchiolo C. R.
43'
43'
Chiuchiolo C. R.
Assist: Guerra M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bangalan M. In: Loxton M.
Out: Bangalan M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Ecuador U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ecuador U17 W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ecuador U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ecuador U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ecuador U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ecuador U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ecuador U17 W | New Zealand U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 3.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 3.67 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ecuador U17 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Chiuchiolo C. R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Arboleda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
New Zealand U17 W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ecuador U17 W 85 / 100
New Zealand U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ecuador U17 W New Zealand U17 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Ecuador U17 W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).
New Zealand U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Ecuador U17 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ecuador U17 W VS New Zealand U17 W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Ecuador U17 W
(Home) 09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1 Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0 Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0 Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1 Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1 Ecuador U17 W
Page 1 of 7
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0 Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1 Peru U17 W
24 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 4 China U17 W
24 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 1 Paraguay U17 W
19 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0 Brazil U17 W
Page 1 of 3
New Zealand U17 W
(Away) 25 Oct
New Zealand U17 W
0 : 4 Zambia U17 W
22 Oct
Paraguay U17 W
4 : 1 New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Japan U17 W
3 : 0 New Zealand U17 W
22 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
4 : 0 New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Dominican Republic U17 W
1 : 1 New Zealand U17 W
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Paraguay U17 W
4 : 1 New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Japan U17 W
3 : 0 New Zealand U17 W
22 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
4 : 0 New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Dominican Republic U17 W
1 : 1 New Zealand U17 W
10 Oct
Mexico U17 W
0 : 0 New Zealand U17 W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 4 | New Zealand U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | USA U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Colombia U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 4 | South Korea U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:11 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Korea U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 9 |
| 2 | England U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya U17 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Mexico U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U17 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Poland U17 W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Brazil U17 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Zambia U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)