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Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20
Sat, Feb 1, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U20 host Chile U20 in the South American Championship U20. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ecuador U20 at 1.4 goals for, 1.24 against; Chile U20 at 1.21 for, 1.68 against. Head-to-head, Ecuador U20 have won 1 to Chile U20's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.05) back Ecuador U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ecuador U20
30%
Draws
31%
Chile U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chile U20 have won more games recently than Ecuador U20.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Ecuador U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U20 Chile U20
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20
3:2
Jan 21, 2023 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
1:1
Oct 6, 2022 South American Games U19
Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:2
Jan 22, 2017 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U20 58 / 100
Chile U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U20 Chile U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Ecuador U20's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chile U20
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U20

(Home)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
Page 1 of 5

Chile U20

(Away)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)