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Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ruiz E.
45' Event
Villarreal N.
46'
Sub
Arevalo J. In: Klinger J.
Out: Arevalo J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Ecuador U20 and Colombia U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ecuador U20
20%
Draws
56%
Colombia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Colombia U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colombia U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U20 Colombia U20
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.4 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benitez Hernandez R. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U20 20 / 100
Colombia U20 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U20 Colombia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Colombia U20 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colombia U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U20

(Home)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
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Colombia U20

(Away)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
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