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Ecuador U20 vs South Korea U20

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World Cup U20 2023 Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades
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AI Match Summary

Ecuador U20 play South Korea U20 in the World Cup U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ecuador U20 averaged 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. South Korea U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ecuador U20 won 1, South Korea U20 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.73 for Ecuador U20 and 1.08 for South Korea U20. This points to a South Korea U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ecuador U20
22%
Draws
18%
South Korea U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ecuador U20.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Ecuador U20.
  • Cup tournament structure in World Cup U20 2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U20 South Korea U20
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2023 World Cup U20
Ecuador U20 vs South Korea U20
2:3
Jun 11, 2019 World Cup U20
Ecuador U20 vs South Korea U20
0:1
May 17, 2019 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs South Korea U20
0:1
Mar 30, 2017 Friendly International
South Korea U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:2
Aug 20, 2012 Friendly International
South Korea U20 vs Ecuador U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Baquero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

South Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Young-Jun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bae Jun-Ho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U20 68 / 100
South Korea U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U20 South Korea U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20 scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

South Korea U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ecuador U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U20 VS South Korea U20
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
17% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
USA U204
New Zealand U200
Gambia U200
Uruguay U201
Uzbekistan U200
Israel U201
Brazil U204
Tunisia U201
Colombia U205
Slovakia U201
England U201
Italy U202
Ecuador U202
South Korea U203
Argentina U200
Nigeria U202
Quarter-finals
USA U200
Uruguay U202
Israel U203
Brazil U202
Colombia U201
Italy U203
South Korea U201
Nigeria U200
Semi-finals
Uruguay U201
Israel U200
Italy U202
South Korea U201
Final
Uruguay U201
Italy U200
Israel U203
South Korea U201