Sport Picks

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Ecuador U23 vs Peru U23

World World

Pan American Games 2019
Wed, Aug 7, 2019
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Minda K.
Own Goal
88' Event
Vivar J.
1' Event
Barco J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Peru U23 in this Pan American Games 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ecuador U23
20%
Draws
29%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ecuador U23 average 1.15 goals a game right now, well clear of Peru U23's 0.85.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ecuador U23 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Peru U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.15 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Ecuador U23
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Pan American Games
Ecuador U23 vs Peru U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peru U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U23 40 / 100
Peru U23 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U23 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Peru U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U23 VS Peru U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U23

(Home)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
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Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Panama U23 4
Jamaica U23 0
Ecuador U23 1
Peru U23 2