Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Ecuador

2 - 1

Germany

Our Tip

Match Events

Sane L.

Assist: Wirtz F.

Angulo N.

Assist: Vite P.

43'

Hincapie P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Ecuador and Germany finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Ecuador

15%

Draws

48%

Germany

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Germany come out ahead of Ecuador on wins alone.
48% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Germany have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Ecuador Clean Sheet 10%

Germany Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ecuador	Germany
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	19
Draws	13	4
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.07	2.55
Goals Conceded	0.6	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 World Championship

Ecuador vs Germany

2:1

May 29, 2013 Friendly International

Germany vs Ecuador

4:2

Jun 20, 2006 World Championship

Ecuador vs Germany

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Plata G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Sane L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador 14 / 100

Germany 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ecuador Germany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:7

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ecuador's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Germany has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ecuador stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador VS Germany

1.13 Goals Scored 3.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador

(Home)

01 Jul

Mexico

2 : 0

Ecuador

25 Jun

Ecuador

2 : 1

Germany

21 Jun

Ecuador

0 : 0

Curacao

14 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 0

Ecuador

07 Jun

Ecuador

3 : 0

Guatemala

Page 1 of 6

Germany

(Away)

29 Jun

Germany

1 : 2

Paraguay

25 Jun

Ecuador

2 : 1

Germany

20 Jun

Germany

2 : 1

Ivory Coast

14 Jun

Germany

7 : 1

Curacao

06 Jun

USA

1 : 2

Germany

Page 1 of 6