Sport Picks

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Ecuador W vs Guatemala W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Bolanos N.
76' Event
Pesantez D.
78' Event
Pesantez D.

AI Match Summary

Ecuador W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ecuador W
15%
Draws
48%
Guatemala W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guatemala W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guatemala W lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador W.
  • Win probability leans Guatemala W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 10%
Guatemala W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador W Guatemala W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.36 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Guatemala W
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Guatemala W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pesantez D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Guatemala W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.64
Avg xA / game 1.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador W 10 / 100
Guatemala W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador W Guatemala W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Guatemala W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ecuador W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador W VS Guatemala W
1.38 Goals Scored 4.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
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Guatemala W

(Away)
09 Jun
Guatemala W
1 : 5
El Salvador W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
07 Mar
Cayman Islands W
0 : 13
Guatemala W
01 Mar
Guatemala W
6 : 0
Grenada W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
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