Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ecuador W vs Peru W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Ecuador W Logo

Ecuador W

1 - 0
FT
Peru W Logo

Peru W

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Arevalo S.
35' Event
Bolanos V.
Penalty Missed
41'
Pico F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ecuador W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ecuador W
30%
Draws
37%
Peru W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ecuador W lately — more wins on the board than Peru W.
  • Peru W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ecuador W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador W Peru W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.36 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
1:0
Jul 16, 2025 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Ecuador W
1:3
Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Peru W
1:0
Nov 15, 2022 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Ecuador W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador W 28 / 100
Peru W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador W Peru W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Ecuador W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ecuador W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador W VS Peru W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Peru W

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)