Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ECUS SP vs Jabaquara

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Natanael

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between ECUS SP and Jabaquara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ECUS SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
ECUS SP
35%
Draws
27%
Jabaquara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jabaquara haven't matched ECUS SP's recent run of results.
  • ECUS SP are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jabaquara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 20%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Jabaquara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Jabaquara
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs ECUS SP
3:0
May 21, 2023 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Jabaquara
1:2
May 29, 2022 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs ECUS SP
3:0
Apr 24, 2022 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Jabaquara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Natanael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jabaquara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 42 / 100
Jabaquara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ECUS SP found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Jabaquara let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Jabaquara
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 6

Jabaquara

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)