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ECUS SP vs Maua FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maua FC in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ECUS SP
30%
Draws
27%
Maua FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maua FC at 1.63 per game, ECUS SP at 0.88.
  • Model gives ECUS SP a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 20%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Maua FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Paulista B
ECUS SP vs Maua FC
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Paulista B
Maua FC vs ECUS SP
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Paulista B
Maua FC vs ECUS SP
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paulista B
ECUS SP vs Maua FC
1:0
May 31, 2025 Paulista B
Maua FC vs ECUS SP
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 67 / 100
Maua FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Maua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ECUS SP scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Maua FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Maua FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
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Maua FC

(Away)
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1
Maua FC
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0
Uniao Mogi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 8 1 1 28:5 25
2 Vocem 10 7 3 0 23:6 24
3 Tanabi 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
4 Fernandopolis 10 4 1 5 14:15 13
5 Tupa 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 0:30 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 6 4 0 16:6 22
2 Francana 10 4 4 2 9:6 16
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 America SP 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
5 Inter de Bebedouro 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
6 Batatais 10 2 1 7 8:18 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 1 2 20:8 22
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 12:5 20
3 Uniao Sao Joao 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
4 Independente SP 10 4 3 3 13:9 15
5 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 4:14 6
6 Sao Carlos 10 1 1 8 3:21 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SKA Brasil 10 5 4 1 14:5 19
2 Uniao Barbarense 10 5 3 2 9:4 18
3 Rio Branco SP 10 3 5 2 13:12 14
4 Amparo SP 10 4 1 5 12:17 13
5 Paulista 10 2 3 5 12:15 9
6 Colorado Caieiras 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
2 Guarulhos 10 4 4 2 9:6 16
3 Jacarei FC 10 4 4 2 11:9 16
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
5 Atletico Mogi 10 3 1 6 8:14 10
6 Uniao Mogi 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jabaquara 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
2 Nacional SP 10 5 3 2 12:8 18
3 Maua FC 10 3 4 3 14:9 13
4 Mauaense 10 3 4 3 14:15 13
5 Barcelona SP 10 3 4 3 5:6 13
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 7:21 -2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)