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Edinburgh City vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leitch J.
Assist: McKinley C.
32' Event
McKinley C.
Assist: Jarvis J.
35'
O'Donnell C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Edinburgh City
35%
Draws
28%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Edinburgh City.
  • Edinburgh City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Alloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 17%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Alloa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
2:5
Jan 6, 2024 League One
Alloa vs Edinburgh City
3:1
Nov 18, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitch J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKinley C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alloa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 57 / 100
Alloa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Edinburgh City found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Alloa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Edinburgh City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Alloa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Queen of the South
05 Sept
Clyde
3 : 2
Edinburgh City
28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1
Alloa
05 Sept
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
Alloa
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams