Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Edinburgh City vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leitch J.
Assist: McKinley C.
32' Event
McKinley C.
Assist: Jarvis J.
35'
O'Donnell C.

AI Match Summary

Edinburgh City in this League Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Edinburgh City
22%
Draws
60%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Edinburgh City.
  • Alloa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Alloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 15%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Alloa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
2:5
Jan 6, 2024 League One
Alloa vs Edinburgh City
3:1
Nov 18, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitch J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKinley C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Alloa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 19 / 100
Alloa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Alloa conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Edinburgh City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Alloa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Alloa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
14 Jul
Edinburgh City
2 : 0
Alloa
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
04 Jul
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
30 Jun
Raith
4 : 0
Edinburgh City
27 Jun
Gala Fairydean Rovers
3 : 3
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
14 Jul
Edinburgh City
2 : 0
Alloa
30 Jun
Alloa
0 : 3
Livingston
23 Jun
Alloa
5 : 0
Civil Service Strollers
16 May
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1
Alloa
13 May
Alloa
1 : 3
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen's Park32016:36
2Aberdeen22004:16
3Queen of the South21014:14
4Kelty Hearts21011:32
5Brora Rangers30031:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd32014:16
2Montrose22003:06
3Stirling31023:43
4Arbroath21012:43
5Spartans20022:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren22008:06
2East Kilbride320110:66
3Dunfermline21014:43
4Cove Rangers21013:63
5Dumbarton30034:130
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee FC22009:26
2Ross County22007:26
3Airdrieonians31025:53
4Clyde21012:33
5Annan30031:120
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick330011:18
2Stenhousemuir22004:16
3Livingston21013:14
4Forfar Athletic20020:60
5Brechin30031:100
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Johnstone22005:06
2Inverness22003:15
3East Fife21013:14
4Linlithgow Rose31021:43
5Morton30030:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr33006:29
2Falkirk21015:13
3Edinburgh City31022:73
4Alloa21012:42
5Stranraer20024:51
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith31024:25
2Hamilton22002:15
3Kilmarnock22001:05
4Peterhead21013:23
5Elgin City30032:70
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams