Sport Picks
Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath Prediction & H2H Stats
Scotland
Challenge Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh 
Match Events
22'
22'
Lawson I.
23'
23'
Lawson I.
31'
31'
Aiken M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Edinburgh City lately — more wins on the board than Cowdenbeath.
- Edinburgh City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Edinburgh City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Edinburgh City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Edinburgh City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 17%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Edinburgh City | Cowdenbeath |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath
3:1
Jul 20, 2022 League Cup
Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 League Two
Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City
0:0
Feb 25, 2022 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath
1:0
Dec 22, 2021 League Two
Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Edinburgh City Compare
Top Goalscorer Lawson I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aiken M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Cowdenbeath Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Edinburgh City 75 / 100
Cowdenbeath 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Edinburgh City Cowdenbeath
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cowdenbeath's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.
Attacking prowess: Edinburgh City scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Edinburgh City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Edinburgh City VS Cowdenbeath
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Edinburgh City
(Home) 26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Queen of the South
28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Forfar Athletic
22 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Annan
Page 1 of 4
Cowdenbeath
(Away) 26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1 Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0 Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0 Cowdenbeath
29 Aug
Linlithgow Rose
3 : 2 Cowdenbeath
11 Aug
Edinburgh City
3 : 1 Cowdenbeath
01 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
3 : 2 Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
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