Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Edirnespor Genclik vs Etimesgut

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Edirnespor Genclik play Etimesgut in the 3. Lig Group 1. Etimesgut are favorites here. Recently, Edirnespor Genclik averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Etimesgut averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Edirnespor Genclik won 0, Etimesgut won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Edirnespor Genclik and 1.69 for Etimesgut. This points to a Etimesgut double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Edirnespor Genclik
26%
Draws
61%
Etimesgut
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Edirnespor Genclik picked up more points recently compared to Etimesgut.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Edirnespor Genclik Clean Sheet 13%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edirnespor Genclik Etimesgut
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Edirnespor Genclik vs Etimesgut
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Edirnespor Genclik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edirnespor Genclik Compare

Top Goalscorer Saglam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Vural C. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durmus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edirnespor Genclik 14 / 100
Etimesgut 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edirnespor Genclik Etimesgut

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Etimesgut & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Edirnespor Genclik attacking → ← attacking Etimesgut

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edirnespor Genclik scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Etimesgut let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Edirnespor Genclik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Etimesgut lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Bursa Nilufer301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515