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Edmonton vs Cavalry Prediction & H2H Stats

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 Clarke Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Mason J.
Assist: Alarcon R.
61'
Smith C.
66'
Sub
Smith C. In: Timoteo W.
Out: Smith C.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2022 game between Edmonton and Cavalry finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Edmonton
20%
Draws
57%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Edmonton on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavalry have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 18%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edmonton Cavalry
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 27
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Cavalry
0:1
Jul 30, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Edmonton
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Edmonton
3:1
May 11, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Edmonton
2:1
May 7, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Cavalry
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edmonton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edmonton 10 / 100
Cavalry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edmonton Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edmonton's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 60% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Edmonton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavalry
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Edmonton

(Home)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
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