Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 Clarke Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Timoteo W.
Assist: Shome S.
24'
Polisi M.
51'
Timoteo W.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2022 game between Edmonton and HFX Wanderers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HFX Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Edmonton
15%
Draws
51%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HFX Wanderers come out ahead of Edmonton on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 20%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edmonton HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers
3:2
Jul 23, 2022 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
1:1
Jun 15, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
3:1
Sep 25, 2021 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoteo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edmonton 36 / 100
HFX Wanderers 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edmonton HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edmonton found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

HFX Wanderers let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: HFX Wanderers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS HFX Wanderers
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Edmonton

(Home)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2022 (Play Offs)