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Edmonton vs Valour Prediction & H2H Stats

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 Clarke Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ponce W.
Assist: Jean-Baptiste A.
24'
Camara M.
30'
Jean-Baptiste A.

AI Match Summary

Edmonton in this Canadian Premier League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Edmonton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Edmonton
20%
Draws
40%
Valour
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valour lately — more wins on the board than Edmonton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 20%
Valour Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edmonton Valour
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Valour
3:1
Aug 21, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Edmonton
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Edmonton
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Valour
1:1
Nov 6, 2021 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Valour
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoteo W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bitar G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edmonton 31 / 100
Valour 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edmonton Valour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edmonton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valour let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Edmonton's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Valour's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valour
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Edmonton

(Home)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

Valour

(Away)
18 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 4
Valour
11 Oct
Valour
0 : 3
HFX Wanderers
05 Oct
Valour
3 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
28 Sept
Inter Toronto
1 : 0
Valour
20 Sept
Cavalry
3 : 0
Valour
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
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