Sport Picks
Eemdijk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vinken, Spakenburg 
AI Match Summary
DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eemdijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Eemdijk average 1.81 goals a game right now, well clear of DVS '33 Ermelo's 1.61.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors DVS '33 Ermelo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 12%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eemdijk | DVS '33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
3:0
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:5
Mar 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eemdijk 30 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eemdijk DVS '33 Ermelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Eemdijk scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Away concern: DVS '33 Ermelo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Eemdijk VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Eemdijk
(Home) 15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2 Eemdijk
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
16 May
Eemdijk
2 : 3 DVS '33 Ermelo
25 Apr
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV DOVO
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
Page 1 of 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Away) 15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Rijnvogels
27 May
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
23 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 0 Huizen
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
27 May
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
16 May
Eemdijk
2 : 3 DVS '33 Ermelo
18 Apr
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
