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Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Eemdijk and Sparta Nijkerk finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Nijkerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
68%
Sparta Nijkerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Eemdijk haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:4
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Eemdijk
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:4
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Eemdijk
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 10 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk Sparta Nijkerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Sparta Nijkerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Eemdijk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS Sparta Nijkerk
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Nijkerk

(Away)
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)