Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023

Kogi United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EFCC FC play Kogi United in the NNL 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, EFCC FC averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Kogi United averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, EFCC FC won 1, Kogi United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for EFCC FC and 1.13 for Kogi United. This points to a EFCC FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

EFCC FC

23%

Draws

33%

Kogi United

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: EFCC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

EFCC FC picked up more points recently compared to Kogi United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

EFCC FC Clean Sheet 21%

Kogi United Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	EFCC FC	Kogi United
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0.88	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 NNL

Kogi United vs EFCC FC

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Apr 14, 2023 NNL

EFCC FC vs Kogi United

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EFCC FC 44 / 100

Kogi United 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

EFCC FC Kogi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EFCC FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EFCC FC attacking → ← attacking Kogi United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EFCC FC scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Kogi United let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

EFCC FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kogi United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 36

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EFCC FC	10	6	1	3	12:7	19
2	Mighty Jets	10	6	0	4	7:7	18
3	Hypebuzz	10	4	2	4	13:8	14
4	Mailantarki Care	10	4	2	4	8:6	14
5	Abubakar Bukola Saraki	10	4	0	6	7:11	12
6	Kogi United	10	2	3	5	5:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Katsina Utd	10	6	3	1	14:6	21
2	City FC Abuja	10	5	1	4	7:10	16
3	Jigawa Golden Stars	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
4	Nigeria Airforce FC	10	2	5	3	7:8	11
5	FWC Champions	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
6	Green Beret	10	1	4	5	9:14	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	One Rocket	10	6	2	2	17:10	20
2	Warri Wolves	10	5	3	2	10:8	18
3	Rovers FC	10	4	4	2	8:7	16
4	Vandrezzer	10	3	3	4	10:10	12
5	Henserd	10	3	1	6	13:15	10
6	Go Round	10	1	3	6	4:12	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Lagos	10	5	3	2	16:9	18
2	Ijebu	10	5	3	2	15:11	18
3	Crown FC	10	4	3	3	9:8	15
4	Gateway United	10	3	2	5	5:8	11
5	Smart City	10	4	1	5	7:13	10
6	Joy Cometh	10	2	2	6	9:15	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kano Pillars	8	6	1	1	14:3	19
2	Kebbi	8	4	2	2	12:9	14
3	Malumfashi	8	4	1	3	12:8	13
4	Sokoto United	8	2	2	4	8:11	8
5	Zamfara United	8	0	2	6	2:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	DMD	6	3	2	1	3:1	11
2	Yobe Stars	6	3	1	2	1:2	7
3	Adamawa Utd	6	2	1	3	3:5	7
4	Police Machine	6	1	2	3	2:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Abeokuta	8	5	2	1	16:7	17
2	Ekiti United	8	5	1	2	12:9	16
3	Madiba	8	4	2	2	16:7	14
4	Ikorodu United	8	2	0	6	8:14	6
5	Ebedei	8	1	1	6	5:20	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heartland FC	10	6	4	0	10:4	22
2	Giant Brillars	10	4	3	3	10:8	15
3	Cynosure	10	4	2	4	14:8	14
4	Abia Comets	10	3	4	3	6:5	13
5	Edel FC	10	3	2	5	7:13	11
6	Ibom Youths	10	1	3	6	6:15	6