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E.G. El Palmar vs Bala Azul

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

1 - 2
FT
Bala Azul Logo

Bala Azul

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Bixente K.
75' Event
Mohammed B.
90' Event
Medina Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between E.G. El Palmar and Bala Azul finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
E.G. El Palmar
30%
Draws
58%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bala Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • E.G. El Palmar have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Bala Azul are scoring more at 1.23.
  • Bala Azul are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E.G. El Palmar Bala Azul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Bala Azul
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs E.G. El Palmar
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs E.G. El Palmar
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Bala Azul
0:0
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs E.G. El Palmar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bixente K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E.G. El Palmar 22 / 100
Bala Azul 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E.G. El Palmar Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Azul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: E.G. El Palmar scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

E.G. El Palmar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

E.G. El Palmar VS Bala Azul
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

E.G. El Palmar

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 6

Bala Azul

(Away)
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)