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Egabrense vs Portuense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
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Match Events

12' Event
Egea J.
17' Event
Cornejo J.
51' Event
Farrando M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Egabrense and Portuense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Egabrense
15%
Draws
43%
Portuense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Portuense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Egabrense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Egabrense Clean Sheet 20%
Portuense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egabrense Portuense
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Egabrense vs Portuense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egabrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Egea J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.78

Portuense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farrando M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egabrense 36 / 100
Portuense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egabrense Portuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Egabrense found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Portuense let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Egabrense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Egabrense VS Portuense
1.6 Goals Scored 0.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 25%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Egabrense

(Home)
27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0
Egabrense
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
Egabrense
4 : 2
Cordoba B

Portuense

(Away)
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
25 Aug
Portuense
0 : 2
Antoniano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis C 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Dos Hermanas 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
3 Portuense 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 CD Utrera 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
5 Egabrense 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Chiclana 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Tomares UD 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Pozoblanco 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
9 Linense 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Cadiz B 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
12 San Roque de Lepe 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Sevilla C 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 AD Ceuta B 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
16 Conil 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Bollullos 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
18 Cordoba B 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)