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Egabrense vs Xerez Deportivo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Egabrense host Xerez Deportivo FC in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. This one's hard to separate. Egabrense have averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Xerez Deportivo FC's 0.93 scored and 1.17 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.21 vs 1.07, favoring Egabrense. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Egabrense
30%
Draws
33%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Egabrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xerez Deportivo FC lately — more wins on the board than Egabrense.
  • Model gives Egabrense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Egabrense Clean Sheet 20%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egabrense Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egabrense 42 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egabrense Xerez Deportivo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egabrense found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Xerez Deportivo FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Egabrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Egabrense VS Xerez Deportivo FC
1.43 Goals Scored 1
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Egabrense

(Home)
04 Oct
Egabrense
2 : 2
Bollullos
27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0
Egabrense
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
Egabrense
4 : 2
Cordoba B

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3
Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Portuense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Betis C 6 4 1 1 14:8 13
4 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
5 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Pozoblanco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
7 Egabrense 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
8 Chiclana 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 AD Ceuta B 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
13 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
14 Conil 6 2 0 4 4:10 6
15 Cadiz B 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
16 Bollullos 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
17 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
18 Cordoba B 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)