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Egedal vs Avarta

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Foge M.
82' Event
Nielsen M.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division East 2013/2014 game between Egedal and Avarta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Egedal
20%
Draws
34%
Avarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Egedal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avarta come out ahead of Egedal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Egedal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Avarta have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Egedal Clean Sheet 20%
Avarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egedal Avarta
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Avarta
0:2
Aug 4, 2013 2nd Division East
Avarta vs Egedal
3:1
Apr 29, 2012 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Avarta
2:1
Aug 7, 2011 2nd Division East
Avarta vs Egedal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egedal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Avarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Foge M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nielsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egedal 67 / 100
Avarta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egedal Avarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egedal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avarta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 37 matches.

Egedal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Egedal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avarta
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Egedal

(Home)
29 Oct
Egedal
2 : 3
Varde
24 Sept
Egedal
2 : 1
Nordsjaelland
12 Aug
Egedal
3 : 2
Birkerod
21 Jun
Egedal
2 : 2
Holbaek
14 Jun
BK Frem
1 : 1
Egedal
Page 1 of 6

Avarta

(Away)
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roskilde 30 26 2 2 88:22 80
2 Naestved IF 30 18 7 5 69:34 61
3 Fremad Amager 30 15 6 9 76:55 51
4 Helsingor 30 15 5 10 59:35 50
5 B 1908 30 15 5 10 46:36 50
6 Holbaek 30 12 9 9 66:58 45
7 Sollerod-Ved. 30 10 11 9 40:42 41
8 BK Frem 30 9 11 10 46:44 38
9 Nykobing 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
10 Boldklubben 1893 30 10 6 14 42:43 36
11 Gentofte-Vangede 30 9 8 13 42:63 35
12 Svebolle 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Avarta 30 8 7 15 50:67 31
14 Vanlose 30 8 5 17 34:67 29
15 Birkerod 30 8 4 18 39:69 28
16 Egedal 30 4 9 17 31:69 21
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