Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egersund vs Kongsvinger

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena, Egersund
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Tadesse H.
24'
Sub
Kleppa H. In: Hovland P.
Out: Kleppa H.
32' Event
Lynum J.
Assist: Sleveland C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Egersund
35%
Draws
42%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kongsvinger have won more games recently than Egersund.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egersund Kongsvinger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.77 3.27
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Kongsvinger
1:1
May 1, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynum J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Langrekken L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egersund 10 / 100
Kongsvinger 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egersund Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egersund's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kongsvinger conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Egersund stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egersund VS Kongsvinger
1.63 Goals Scored 5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Egersund

(Home)
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
30 Aug
Egersund
2 : 2
Asane
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Kongsvinger

(Away)
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Lyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)