Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egestorf-Langreder vs Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Egestorf-Langreder play Blau-Weiss Bornreihe in the Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024. Egestorf-Langreder are favorites here. Recently, Egestorf-Langreder averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Blau-Weiss Bornreihe averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Egestorf-Langreder won 1, Blau-Weiss Bornreihe won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 11, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Egestorf-Langreder and 1.00 for Blau-Weiss Bornreihe. This points to a Egestorf-Langreder double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Egestorf-Langreder
25%
Draws
15%
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Egestorf-Langreder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Egestorf-Langreder picked up more points recently compared to Blau-Weiss Bornreihe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Egestorf-Langreder Clean Sheet 23%
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egestorf-Langreder Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.76 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Egestorf-Langreder vs Blau-Weiss Bornreihe
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe vs Egestorf-Langreder
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egestorf-Langreder Compare

Top Goalscorer Bode N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Homeier J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe Compare

Top Goalscorer Taha H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egestorf-Langreder 59 / 100
Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egestorf-Langreder Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egestorf-Langreder Win (1)
Secondary Pick Egestorf-Langreder & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Egestorf-Langreder attacking → ← attacking Blau-Weiss Bornreihe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egestorf-Langreder scored in 62% of their last 45 games.

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Egestorf-Langreder went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Blau-Weiss Bornreihe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

78 Points in last 5 19
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Emden34282497:3186
2TuS Bersenbruck34216783:4969
3Delmenhorst342031164:4463
4Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg34178961:4559
5Hildesheim34178963:5059
6Egestorf-Langreder341671156:4555
7BSV Rehden341661255:4354
8Vorsfelde341591054:4954
9Meppen II341471350:5349
10VfL Oldenburg341461459:5948
11Heeslinger SC3412111155:5647
12Eintracht Celle341171661:7240
13Schoningen341081653:6938
14Arminia Hannover34871941:6331
15Rotenburger34871939:6631
16Ramlingen-Ehlershausen346111746:7529
17Eilvese34642447:7122
18Blau-Weiss Bornreihe34492136:8021