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Egypt U20 vs Morocco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
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Match Events

25' Event
Baallal A.
33' Event
Bouhoudane S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Egypt U20
15%
Draws
39%
Morocco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Egypt U20 haven't matched Morocco U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Egypt U20's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Morocco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Egypt U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt U20 Morocco U20
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 14 24
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Egypt U20 vs Morocco U20
0:2
Aug 15, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Egypt U20
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Egypt U20
1:1
May 15, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Morocco U20 vs Egypt U20
1:0
Nov 14, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Egypt U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baallal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouhoudane S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt U20 59 / 100
Morocco U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt U20 Morocco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt U20 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Egypt U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Morocco U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

Egypt U20 VS Morocco U20
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt U20

(Home)
06 Oct
Algeria U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Tunisia U20
24 Sept
Libya U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
31 Jul
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Jordan U20
Page 1 of 7

Morocco U20

(Away)
06 Oct
Libya U20
3 : 2
Morocco U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Morocco U20
3 : 1
Algeria U20
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Morocco U20 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Algeria U20 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Libya U20 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Tunisia U20 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sierra Leone U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Senegal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mauritania U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Guinea U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Liberia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea-Bissau U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Niger U20 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Benin U20 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Ghana U20 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Togo U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)