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Egypt U20 vs Tunisia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
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Match Events

16' Event
El Shamy M.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Hamad M.
66' Event
Saidi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Egypt U20
35%
Draws
16%
Tunisia U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Egypt U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Egypt U20 come out ahead of Tunisia U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Egypt U20 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Egypt U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Egypt U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Egypt U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Tunisia U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt U20 Tunisia U20
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Egypt U20 vs Tunisia U20
2:1
Nov 26, 2024 Friendly International
Egypt U20 vs Tunisia U20
1:0
Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia U20 vs Egypt U20
1:1
Dec 1, 2019 Friendly International
Tunisia U20 vs Egypt U20
3:1
Feb 4, 2012 Friendly International
Tunisia U20 vs Egypt U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tunisia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt U20 86 / 100
Tunisia U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt U20 Tunisia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Egypt U20 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Egypt U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Egypt U20 VS Tunisia U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Tunisia U20
24 Sept
Libya U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
31 Jul
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Jordan U20
28 Jul
Egypt U20
2 : 0
Jordan U20
Page 1 of 7

Tunisia U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Libya U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Tunisia U20
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
24 Sept
Algeria U20
1 : 1
Tunisia U20
08 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Algeria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Morocco U20 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Algeria U20 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Libya U20 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Tunisia U20 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sierra Leone U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Senegal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mauritania U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Guinea U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Liberia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea-Bissau U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Niger U20 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Benin U20 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Ghana U20 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Togo U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)