Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025 Al Maktoum Stadium

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Egypt play Cape Verde in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Egypt averaged 1.51 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Cape Verde averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Egypt won 2, Cape Verde won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 17, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Egypt and 1.31 for Cape Verde. This points to a Egypt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Egypt

32%

Draws

27%

Cape Verde

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Egypt picked up more points recently compared to Cape Verde.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Egypt Clean Sheet 18%

Cape Verde Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Egypt	Cape Verde
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	21	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.51	1.3
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International

Egypt vs Cape Verde

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Egypt

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Egypt vs Cape Verde

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Jan 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Egypt

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Marmoush O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cape Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 41 / 100

Cape Verde 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Egypt Cape Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Egypt or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Egypt attacking → ← attacking Cape Verde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Cape Verde let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Egypt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cape Verde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 46

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25