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Egypt vs Tunisia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zakaria Y.
17' Event
Saad M.
34'
Haj Ali M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Egypt and Tunisia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Egypt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Egypt
20%
Draws
0%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Egypt come out ahead of Tunisia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Egypt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Egypt Clean Sheet 68%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt Tunisia
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Friendly International
Egypt vs Tunisia
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Friendly International
Egypt vs Tunisia
1:0
Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
Egypt vs Tunisia
1:3
Dec 15, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Tunisia vs Egypt
1:0
Nov 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt vs Tunisia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakaria Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Tunisia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 95 / 100
Tunisia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt Tunisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Tunisia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Egypt scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Tunisia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Egypt VS Tunisia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.57
50% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt

(Home)
07 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Egypt
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
15 Jun
Belgium
1 : 1
Egypt
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Tunisia

(Away)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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