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Egypt W vs Nigeria W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Egypt W Logo

Egypt W

2 - 6
FT
Nigeria W Logo

Nigeria W

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Essam H.
21' Event
Oshoala A.
(Penalty)
29'
Tarek M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-6. The second leg ended 2-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Egypt W
15%
Draws
64%
Nigeria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nigeria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nigeria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nigeria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Egypt W Clean Sheet 10%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt W Nigeria W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Egypt W vs Nigeria W
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghazi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nigeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monday G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanu U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt W 10 / 100
Nigeria W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt W Nigeria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Egypt W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nigeria W conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Egypt W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egypt W VS Nigeria W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt W

(Home)
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

Nigeria W

(Away)
09 Oct
Comoros W
0 : 2
Nigeria W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)