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Ehime vs Gainare Tottori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
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Match Events

42'
Kuroishi T.
56' Event
Tamura S.
Assist: Abe R.
66'
Sub
Yamamoto S. In: Tojo A.
Out: Yamamoto S.

AI Match Summary

Ehime in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ehime.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ehime
20%
Draws
32%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ehime at 1.69 per game, Gainare Tottori at 1.59.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ehime have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ehime Clean Sheet 16%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 J3 League
Ehime vs Gainare Tottori
4:0
Aug 13, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Gainare Tottori
3:2
Mar 19, 2023 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ehime
2:3
Aug 14, 2022 J3 League
Ehime vs Gainare Tottori
7:2
May 25, 2022 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ehime
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Hino S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gainare Tottori Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 31 / 100
Gainare Tottori 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ehime scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Gainare Tottori registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Gainare Tottori
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
03 Nov
Kochi United
4 : 0
Ehime
31 Oct
Tochigi SC
2 : 0
Ehime
25 Oct
Ehime
2 : 4
Fukushima United
21 Oct
Ehime
2 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Gainare Tottori

(Away)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Ryukyu
5 : 2
Gainare Tottori
25 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 0
Kochi United
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0
Gainare Tottori
17 Oct
Gainare Tottori
1 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)