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Ehime vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nakashima T.
Assist: Fujimura R.
46'
Sub
Takemoto Y. In: Kabayama R.
Out: Takemoto Y.
46'
Sub
Kozakai A. In: Hayashi M.
Out: Kozakai A.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Ehime and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ehime.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ehime
15%
Draws
26%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma haven't matched Ehime's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ehime's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ehime Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.64 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 J3 League
Ehime vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 J2 League
Ehime vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:4
Mar 16, 2024 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Ehime
0:1
Aug 9, 2021 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Ehime
1:1
Apr 4, 2021 J2 League
Ehime vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Hino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakashima T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 76 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Thespakusatsu Gunma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ehime Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thespakusatsu Gunma has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ehime scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ehime remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Away)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)