Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Ningineer Stadium

Match Events

24'

Lucas Barcelos

Assist: Yanagisawa K.

46'

Sub

Ishio R. In: Kanazawa K.

Out: Ishio R.

46'

Sub

Kabayama R. In: Saito R.

Out: Kabayama R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ehime host Tokushima in the J2/J3 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tokushima have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Ehime have conceded 0.75 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Ehime have won 1 to Tokushima's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.06, favoring Tokushima. Tokushima in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Ehime

28%

Draws

50%

Tokushima

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Tokushima has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ehime.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Tokushima.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Ehime Clean Sheet 22%

Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ehime	Tokushima
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	18
Draws	2	3
Losses	18	9
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tokushima vs Ehime

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:6

Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League

Ehime vs Tokushima

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Aug 2, 2025 J2 League

Tokushima vs Ehime

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 18, 2025 J2 League

Ehime vs Tokushima

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Aug 3, 2024 J2 League

Ehime vs Tokushima

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Barcelos

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 24 / 100

Tokushima 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ehime Tokushima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ehime scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tokushima let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ehime went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tokushima lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Tokushima

2 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15